The 2025 rapeseed (canola) trading season has officially started. Both crude and refined rapeseed oil are now available in bulk and packaged options (850 ml up to 20 L), with contracts open for delivery across Europe.
Available Products
• Crude rapeseed oil (bulk)
• Refined rapeseed oil (bulk and private label)
• Deep‑frying rapeseed oil (private label, bottles & plastic cans)
Crop Volumes & Market Supply
The European Union and Ukraine remain the key suppliers of rapeseed oil in the 2025–2026 season. Production forecasts vary depending on sources:
1. EU production forecast (April 2025): 18.9 million tonnes, up 11.9% compared to 2024 [1].
2. Strategie Grains (June 2025): 18.6 million tonnes, ~11% higher than 2024 [2].
3. Commodity‑Board report: 19.4 million tonnes, 2.5% more than earlier estimates [3].
4. COCERAL (March 2025): 19.22 million tonnes, compared to 17.22 million tonnes in 2024 [4].
5. Ukraine’s 2025 rapeseed harvest is expected to decline by ~600,000 tonnes vs. 2024 [5].
Pricing Trends
1. EU rapeseed price (Aug 2025): €473.48 per tonne; expected rise to €485–516 [6].
2. Germany rapeseed oil price (Q2 2025): ~US$1,150/MT [7].
3. China rapeseed oil price (Q2 2025): ~US$450/MT [7].
4. Futures & Market Dynamics: CME Group launched European rapeseed oil futures in April 2025 [8].
5. China imposed 100% tariffs on Canadian rapeseed oil, raising futures by 5.2% [9].
Market Size & Growth
The global rapeseed oil market continues to expand steadily:
1. Valued at US$19.4 billion in 2025, projected to reach US$30.4 billion by 2035 [10].
2. Estimated at US$27.81 billion in 2025, up from US$26.27 billion in 2024 [11].
3. By 2035, expected to reach 31 million tonnes and US$43 billion in value [12].
References
[1] ZMP.de – EU Commission increases rapeseed harvest estimate (Apr 2025).
https://www.zmp.de/en/futures/oilseeds/news/market-report-eu-kom-increases-rapeseed-harvest-estimate-2025-26-2025-04-25
[2] Strategie Grains via Sunsirs.com (Jun 2025).
https://www.sunsirs.com/commodity-news/petail-24580.html
[3] Commodity-Board – Rising production forecasts (2025).
https://cropgpt.ai/rising-production-forecasts-and-weather-volatility-influence-rapeseed-and-canola-prices
[4] AHDB – 2025 crop futures prices (Mar 2025).
https://ahdb.org.uk/news/2025-crop-rapeseed-futures-prices-grain-market-daily
[5] Reuters – Ukraine 2025 harvest outlook (Jun 2025).
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraines-2025-grain-harvest-may-fall-10-minister-says-2025-06-03/
[6] Trading Economics – Rapeseed prices (Aug 2025).
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/rapeseed-oil
[7] IMARC Group – Rapeseed oil pricing report (Q2 2025).
https://www.imarcgroup.com/rapeseed-oil-pricing-report
[8] Reuters – CME launches rapeseed oil futures (Mar 2025).
https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/cme-group-launch-european-rapeseed-oil-futures-2025-03-18/
[9] Reuters – China tariffs on Canadian rapeseed oil (Mar 2025).
https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/chinese-rapeseed-meal-futures-rise-after-tariffs-some-canadian-imports-2025-03-10/
[10] Future Market Insights – Rapeseed oil market (2025–2035).
https://www.futuremarketinsights.com/reports/rapeseed-oil-market
[11] The Business Research Company – Market overview (2025).
https://www.thebusinessresearchcompany.com/market-insights/rapeseed-oil-market-overview-2025
[12] IndexBox – Rapeseed oil world market overview (2024–2035).
https://www.indexbox.io/blog/rapeseed-oil-world-market-overview-2024-9/
